Moneyball Makes the 2018 Draft Tricky to Predict

Quarterbacks are the most important players in football. This draft has a bunch of them, and flawed though each of the prospects may be, the best ones will all be selected near the top of the draft board.

So far, so custom jerseys cheap

Cornerbacks, edge-rushers and offensive tackles rank next on the Moneyball leverage/marginal value scale. This year’s cornerback crop is solid enough, but both the edge-rusher and offensive tackle classes are thinner than phyllo dough.

Running backs, guards, off-ball linebackers and safeties rank at the bottom of the marginal value scale. As mentioned, cheap custom nfl jerseys running back talent is plentiful, while the difference between average, great and all-time great players at the other positions is less visible in the win-loss column than the difference between an average quarterback and a Tom Brady.

But this year’s class is overflowing with talent at those low-leverage positions. We’ve covered the running backs. Notre Dame’s Quenton Nelson is one of the best guard prospects ever, and there is depth behind him. Georgia’s Roquan Smith leads a tremendous linebacker class. Derwin James and Minkah Fitzpatrick spearhead a strong safety/nickelback customized nfl jerseys884dc71330c9a2d353e689e7ae5c0492_crop_exact

Teams that follow the Moneyball “rules” will avoid the top players on the guard/running back/etc. draft lists, even if that forces them to reach or gamble on a second-tier edge-rusher or left tackle.

But teams that follow the underlying principles of analytics will seek the best values. That may mean gobbling up the guards,cheap nfl custom jerseys  running backs and linebackers who slip through the cracks (Barkley and Nelson won’t be overlooked for long, but Derrius Guice, Will Hernandez and others might), even if that means taking a low-leverage player higher than they are “supposed to.”

It makes draft prognostication tricky. It’s also a reminder that Moneyball isn’t a template laid out in a Brad Pitt movie. It’s an nike nfl jerseys cheap approach to team-building and a method for solving problems. Different teams can use the same methods and approaches to arrive at very different conclusions.

The Eagles, after all, are as committed to analytics as the Browns are. They traded up for Carson Wentz when the Browns were trading down to collect picks. nfl jerseys cheap nike

We’ll learn more about how analytics are shaping the market after the draft. Until then, we’ll use the numbers to make the best possible projections. Because that’s what teams do.

Jordy Nelson Cut by Packers After Team Signs Jimmy Graham

Longtime Green Bay Packers wide receiver Jordy Nelson will be released, the team announced Tuesday.

ESPN’s Adam Schefter first reported the Packers were cutting customized nfl jerseys cheap Nelson after nine seasons. Schefter also added Nelson would like to continue playing. Jason Wilde of ESPN reported the Packers wanted Nelson back, but offered him a significantly reduced deal, not much better than the veteran minimum.
The move comes after Schefter noted Green Bay plans to sign tight end Jimmy Graham to a three-year deal after free agency begins Wednesday at 4 p.m custom nfl jerseys . ET.

Nelson is coming off his least productive season on a per-game basis since 2010. He tallied 53 receptions for 482 yards and six touchdowns across 15 games with star quarterback Aaron Rodgers limited to seven appearances because of a broken collarbone.

He posted career-high totals in catches (98) and receiving yards (1,519) to go along with 13 touchdowns during a 2014 campaign in which he made the Pro Bowl. After missing 2015 with a torn ACL, he bounced back in 2016 with 97 grabs for 1,257 yards and 14 scores.

In August, Nelson told former Packers teammate A.J. Hawk on customized nfl jerseys the HawkCast podcast he could see the end of his playing career on the horizon.

“I would say anywhere between two to four more custom jerseys cheap  I think four more—so this one and three more—would be my max,” he said. “That would put me at 13 years. I’d be happy with that, obviously. At some point, I feel I got to get my family back to Kansas.”

Nelson, who had one season left on his deal, cheap custom nfl jerseys became expendable with Davante Adams and Randall Cobb on the roster and Graham reportedly joining the group. Adams inked a four-year, $58 million extension with the organization in late December.